Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.7%). Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 65.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Howden
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
42.9% (133)
+5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.1% (89)
-55.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.1% (17)
-9.6%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
52.6% (173)
41.6% (125)
Away
41.5% (118)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
51.6%
40.0%
P2
37.1%
59.5%
P3
55.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%