Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 70.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Howden
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
45.9% (665)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
46.8% (111)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
50.0% (24)
-1.7%
On power play, Howden has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
47.7% (195)
44.7% (409)
Away
52.8% (233)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
51.1%
40.3%
P2
52.6%
47.6%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |