Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 63.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Howden
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
48.1% (268)
+5.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.5% (91)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
58.8% (17)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
48.8% (258)
49.0% (206)
Away
56.6% (258)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
54.0%
53.6%
P2
53.2%
46.2%
P3
50.9%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |