Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Zacha 51.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 62.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 63.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 64.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Howden
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Howden
Zacha
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Howden
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Howden
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Howden
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
53.3% (411)
-3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
51.8% (114)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
42.0% (81)
-6.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
42.8% (138)
52.2% (295)
Away
51.3% (115)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
47.9%
50.5%
P2
49.4%
51.3%
P3
43.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |