Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Zacha 50.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Howden
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
48.0% (296)
+0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.0% (59)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (22)
-12.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
52.6% (173)
48.9% (223)
Away
41.5% (118)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
51.6%
47.9%
P2
37.1%
48.3%
P3
55.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |