Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Zacha 51.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Howden 53.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Howden
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
53.3% (646)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.0% (100)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
38.9% (72)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
47.7% (195)
51.7% (410)
Away
52.8% (233)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
51.1%
57.7%
P2
52.6%
48.9%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%