Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Zacha 52.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 68.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Howden
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Howden
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
54.1% (534)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.0% (109)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
44.8% (96)
+3.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Howden
Zacha
Home
48.8% (258)
53.4% (406)
Away
56.6% (258)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Howden
Zacha
P1
54.0%
56.8%
P2
53.2%
53.6%
P3
50.9%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |