Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Thomas 52.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 53.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Howden
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Howden
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Howden
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
53.2% (1,166)
-5.9%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
56.9% (262)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
48.4% (221)
-22.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Howden
Thomas
Home
44.3% (176)
51.6% (830)
Away
45.8% (190)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Howden
Thomas
P1
43.1%
52.7%
P2
43.1%
55.6%
P3
48.1%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |