Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Thomas 54.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 59.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Howden
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Howden
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Howden
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Howden
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
55.3% (990)
-1.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.2% (190)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
52.5% (158)
-4.4%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Howden
Thomas
Home
48.8% (258)
55.1% (690)
Away
56.6% (258)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Howden
Thomas
P1
54.0%
55.5%
P2
53.2%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |