Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 52.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 68.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 61.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Howden
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Howden
Thomas
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
6
Howden
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Howden
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Howden
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
51.1% (5,350)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.8% (921)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
49.9% (691)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Howden
Thomas
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Howden
Thomas
P1
49.5%
50.6%
P2
48.0%
52.9%
P3
49.9%
50.8%
OT
39.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |