Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs McLeod 50.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Howden
McLeod
Last 7: Howden 3-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
51.3% (628)
-4.0%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
68.3% (41)
-46.1%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
30.6% (49)
-4.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
44.3% (176)
51.5% (394)
Away
45.8% (190)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
43.1%
51.5%
P2
43.1%
47.0%
P3
48.1%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |