Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.6%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 55.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 53.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Howden
McLeod
Last 10: Howden 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Howden
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Howden
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
8
5
Howden
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
50.4% (3,345)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
51.0% (292)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.3% (635)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
48.0%
48.4%
P3
49.9%
50.0%
OT
39.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Brett Howden |