Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs McLeod 52.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 67.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
McLeod
Last 5: Howden 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Howden
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
52.9% (904)
+0.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.6% (59)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
49.0% (241)
-0.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
48.8% (258)
51.8% (612)
Away
56.6% (258)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
54.0%
55.4%
P2
53.2%
50.8%
P3
50.9%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |