Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 76.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 61.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Howden
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
56.1% (342)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.3% (92)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
62.5% (8)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
47.7% (195)
53.4% (208)
Away
52.8% (233)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
59.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |