Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 57.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 80.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Howden
Stamkos
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Howden
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Howden
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
5
3
Howden
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
49.7% (825)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
49.5%
49.1%
P2
48.0%
52.7%
P3
49.9%
50.9%
OT
39.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |