Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Howden
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Howden
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
49.3% (670)
+4.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.7% (121)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
33.3% (3)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (258)
54.0% (400)
Away
56.6% (258)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
54.0%
48.6%
P2
53.2%
54.5%
P3
50.9%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |