Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 62.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
49.3% (789)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.9% (181)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
54.1% (98)
-16.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
52.6% (173)
52.0% (512)
Away
41.5% (118)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
42.1%
P2
37.1%
56.4%
P3
55.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |