Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.5% vs Thompson 46.5% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 55.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Howden
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (358)
46.1% (484)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
48.4% (91)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
30.0% (20)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
47.7% (174)
47.9% (313)
Away
53.0% (219)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
53.3%
50.5%
P2
51.1%
44.6%
P3
49.2%
42.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
50.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%