Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Thompson 43.7% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
41.9% (597)
+11.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.5% (95)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
25.0% (12)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
48.8% (258)
47.1% (367)
Away
56.6% (258)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
54.0%
44.2%
P2
53.2%
41.6%
P3
50.9%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |