Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Howden
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
44.9% (642)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.9% (94)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (33)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
47.7% (195)
46.0% (391)
Away
52.8% (233)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
51.1%
48.1%
P2
52.6%
44.9%
P3
48.8%
41.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%