Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Thompson 41.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Howden
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
40.6% (801)
+8.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.7% (103)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
31.0% (71)
+6.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
52.6% (173)
43.2% (507)
Away
41.5% (118)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
51.6%
37.7%
P2
37.1%
43.4%
P3
55.3%
39.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |