Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McGinn 45.8% vs Marner 50.8% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
McGinn 52.1%
Defensive zone
Marner 56.2%
Neutral zone
McGinn 52.9%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McGinn
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McGinn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (36)
57.1% (7)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
54.5% (11)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McGinn is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
McGinn shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
McGinn
Marner
Home
36.0% (25)
44.4% (9)
Away
36.8% (19)
66.7% (9)
By Period
McGinn
Marner
P1
35.3%
80.0%
P2
31.3%
44.4%
P3
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McGinn
28.0%▼
36.5%
36.4%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%