Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. McGinn wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McGinn 41.3% vs Marner 43.1% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Marner 57.0%
Defensive zone
Marner 53.9%
Neutral zone
McGinn 51.2%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
McGinn
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McGinn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (177)
42.2% (462)
-3.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.6% (18)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
35.4% (65)
-6.0%
On power play, McGinn has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McGinn is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
McGinn shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
McGinn
Marner
Home
29.4% (119)
38.2% (293)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.0% (252)
By Period
McGinn
Marner
P1
43.0%
39.1%
P2
34.5%
41.1%
P3
31.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McGinn
28.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%