Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McGinn 47.2% vs Marner 44.8% (-16.9%)
Offensive zone
Marner 51.8%
Defensive zone
Marner 61.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 53.8%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
McGinn
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McGinn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
33.3% (24)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
20.0% (10)
+30.0%
On even strength, Marner has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. McGinn is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
McGinn shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
McGinn
Marner
Home
0.0% (2)
16.7% (18)
Away
16.7% (6)
43.8% (16)
By Period
McGinn
Marner
P1
0.0%
10.0%
P2
50.0%
35.7%
P3
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McGinn
28.0%▼
36.5%
12.5%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%