Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Nelson 49.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Copp
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Copp
Nelson
Last 9: Copp 7-2 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Nelson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
49.9% (840)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
52.8% (89)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
28.6% (35)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Copp
Nelson
Home
54.6% (346)
49.8% (458)
Away
51.8% (363)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Copp
Nelson
P1
55.3%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
45.4%
P3
55.1%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |