Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Zary 45.1% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Nelson
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
43.0% (114)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
31.6% (19)
+24.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zary
Home
50.4% (472)
43.5% (69)
Away
48.6% (477)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Nelson
Zary
P1
47.2%
46.0%
P2
53.4%
40.0%
P3
47.8%
36.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
41.4%