Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Zary 46.9% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Zary 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
45.3% (106)
+0.8%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (3)
+34.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zary
Home
48.7% (419)
41.9% (62)
Away
41.3% (368)
46.8% (47)
By Period
Nelson
Zary
P1
44.6%
42.9%
P2
47.3%
42.5%
P3
43.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
39.4%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
44.0%