Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Zary 47.1% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Nelson
Zary
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
47.1% (136)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
31.6% (19)
+27.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zary
Home
52.3% (621)
45.6% (79)
Away
48.9% (618)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Nelson
Zary
P1
48.4%
48.3%
P2
53.5%
46.3%
P3
50.3%
39.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%