Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Pettersson 42.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 93.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 91.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Pettersson
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Nelson
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
41.3% (608)
+6.1%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
35.3% (17)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
0.0% (2)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
51.0% (641)
39.7% (320)
Away
44.1% (605)
42.3% (307)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
48.2%
36.9%
P2
48.1%
43.2%
P3
46.9%
43.6%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |