Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Pettersson 47.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Nelson
Pettersson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
46.3% (790)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
53.1% (147)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
51.9% (27)
+0.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
52.5% (590)
48.1% (489)
Away
51.7% (619)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
50.5%
47.4%
P2
54.4%
48.3%
P3
51.4%
46.6%
OT
47.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |