Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Pettersson 44.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Pettersson
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Pettersson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
44.1% (912)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
61.5% (39)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
34.8% (46)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
48.9% (521)
45.0% (489)
Away
45.5% (516)
43.7% (508)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
45.9%
46.0%
P2
48.0%
45.7%
P3
48.0%
42.2%
OT
33.3%
23.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |