Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Pettersson 45.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Nelson
Pettersson
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Pettersson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
3
Nelson
Pettersson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
43.9% (494)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
45.7% (35)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
45.5% (11)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
49.8% (458)
45.5% (290)
Away
49.0% (506)
42.4% (250)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
50.1%
40.2%
P2
45.4%
43.9%
P3
52.7%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |