Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Malkin 50.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 88.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 70.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Nelson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Nelson
Malkin
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
4
Nelson
Malkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Malkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
0
Nelson
Malkin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
50.5% (774)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
53.3% (92)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
10.0% (10)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Nelson
Malkin
Home
53.6% (603)
49.1% (411)
Away
49.9% (585)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Nelson
Malkin
P1
55.4%
49.5%
P2
47.2%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
46.7%
OT
51.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |