Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Malkin 44.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 73.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 94.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 89.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Nelson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Nelson
Malkin
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Nelson
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
3
Nelson
Malkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
2
Nelson
Malkin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
42.4% (340)
+6.1%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
47.1% (17)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
0.0% (1)
+57.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Nelson
Malkin
Home
55.0% (362)
43.6% (172)
Away
43.5% (345)
41.4% (186)
By Period
Nelson
Malkin
P1
49.3%
43.4%
P2
53.6%
44.2%
P3
46.0%
38.7%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |