Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Nazar 46.7% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Nelson
Nazar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
36.8% (19)
+9.3%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (2)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
0.0% (1)
+30.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Nazar is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nazar
Home
48.7% (419)
36.4% (11)
Away
41.3% (368)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Nelson
Nazar
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
37.5%
P3
43.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
39.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
31.8%