Brock Nelson vs Frank Nazar

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brock Nelson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 50.6% vs Nazar 46.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 71.0%
Defensive zone Nelson 86.0%
Neutral zone Nelson 77.7%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Nelson Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 6 (17 meetings)
11
6
Nelson Nazar
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Nazar

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
5
Nelson Nazar
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson Nazar
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
46.9% (533)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
49.2% (132)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
25.6% (39)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +17.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nazar
Home
52.3% (621)
45.0% (329)
Away
48.9% (618)
47.2% (375)
By Period
Nelson
Nazar
P1
48.4%
47.2%
P2
53.5%
43.1%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
41.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
50.6%
Nazar
36.0%
48.0%
46.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 20, 2026 3 12:45 Defensive Frank Nazar
Mar 20, 2026 3 07:53 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 20, 2026 3 04:00 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 20, 2026 2 11:45 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 20, 2026 2 07:56 Defensive Frank Nazar
Mar 20, 2026 2 01:16 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 20, 2026 1 16:05 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 20, 2026 1 01:10 Defensive Frank Nazar
Feb 28, 2026 3 16:02 Defensive Frank Nazar
Feb 28, 2026 3 01:37 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 28, 2026 1 11:55 Defensive Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 3 17:26 Neutral Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 3 06:37 Defensive Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 2 18:56 Defensive Frank Nazar
Nov 23, 2025 2 15:37 Neutral Brock Nelson
Nov 23, 2025 1 11:28 Offensive Frank Nazar
Nov 23, 2025 1 06:37 Defensive Brock Nelson