Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Lundeström 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
54.3% (184)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
33.3% (3)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
45.0% (20)
-3.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
50.4% (472)
51.3% (115)
Away
48.6% (477)
55.4% (92)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
47.2%
52.5%
P2
53.4%
54.1%
P3
47.8%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |