Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Lundeström 45.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 84.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 70.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Nelson
Lundeström
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Lundeström
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Lundeström
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Lundeström
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.2% (785)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
55.6% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
36.5% (85)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
49.8% (458)
45.8% (428)
Away
49.0% (506)
43.2% (451)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
45.4%
46.5%
P3
52.7%
37.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |