Brock Nelson vs Isac Lundeström
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Lundeström 46.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 25-22 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
22
(47 meetings)
25
22
Nelson
Lundeström
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
11
9
Nelson
Lundeström
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
4
Nelson
Lundeström
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Nelson
Lundeström
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
47.3% (2,987)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
51.4% (74)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
41.2% (582)
+2.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,460).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
50.0% (5,845)
47.0% (1,826)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
45.8% (1,817)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.5%
45.6%
P3
47.7%
44.5%
OT
45.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |