Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Lundeström 52.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 51.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
53.6% (209)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
50.0% (4)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
50.0% (26)
-6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
52.3% (621)
50.0% (136)
Away
48.9% (618)
57.3% (103)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
48.4%
53.2%
P2
53.5%
54.8%
P3
50.3%
51.9%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |