Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Lundeström 48.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 62.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 63.1%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nelson
Lundeström
Last 8: Nelson 3-5 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
4
Nelson
Lundeström
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Lundeström
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
40.7% (108)
+10.0%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
72.2% (18)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
61.5% (13)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
53.6% (603)
49.1% (57)
Away
49.9% (585)
45.1% (82)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
55.4%
52.1%
P2
47.2%
41.7%
P3
52.6%
45.2%
OT
51.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |