Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Kulich 46.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 85.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 86.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 90.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Nelson
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Nelson
Kulich
Last 6: Nelson 5-1 Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Kulich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kulich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.4% (513)
+5.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
53.1% (32)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
30.8% (13)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kulich
Home
52.5% (590)
46.8% (267)
Away
51.7% (619)
44.3% (291)
By Period
Nelson
Kulich
P1
50.5%
45.6%
P2
54.4%
48.0%
P3
51.4%
42.9%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |