Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Kulich 45.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 80.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 80.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Nelson
Kulich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nelson
Kulich
Last 8: Nelson 6-2 Kulich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Kulich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kulich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kulich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kulich
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
44.8% (661)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
46.8% (47)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
28.6% (14)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulich shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Kulich is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kulich
Home
50.0% (5,845)
46.0% (365)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
43.1% (357)
By Period
Nelson
Kulich
P1
48.7%
47.0%
P2
48.5%
46.3%
P3
47.7%
40.8%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |