Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 87.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 89.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 80.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Nelson
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Nelson
Bergeron
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Nelson
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Nelson
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Nelson
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
63.8% (1,102)
-13.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
65.3% (288)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
47.6% (210)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bergeron
Home
49.8% (458)
62.5% (882)
Away
49.0% (506)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Nelson
Bergeron
P1
50.1%
62.5%
P2
45.4%
62.7%
P3
52.7%
60.6%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |