Brock Nelson vs Patrice Bergeron

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 47.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor Bergeron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 64.9%
Defensive zone Nelson 56.4%
Neutral zone Nelson 66.1%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Nelson Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Nelson Bergeron
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Bergeron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Nelson Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Nelson Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson Bergeron
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
62.5% (1,109)
-15.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
62.2% (352)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
53.5% (245)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +28.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bergeron
Home
48.9% (521)
61.9% (917)
Away
45.5% (516)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Nelson
Bergeron
P1
45.9%
60.8%
P2
48.0%
60.3%
P3
48.0%
63.0%
OT
33.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
58.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%
46.0%
47.3%
Bergeron
76.0%
64.5%
61.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 18, 2023 3 09:30 Offensive Patrice Bergeron
Feb 18, 2023 3 05:25 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 18, 2023 3 05:19 Offensive Brock Nelson
Feb 18, 2023 2 14:26 Defensive Brock Nelson
Feb 18, 2023 2 06:46 Neutral Brock Nelson
Feb 18, 2023 1 02:07 Offensive Patrice Bergeron
Jan 18, 2023 3 00:32 Defensive Patrice Bergeron
Jan 18, 2023 1 14:27 Defensive Patrice Bergeron
Jan 18, 2023 1 05:15 Defensive Patrice Bergeron
Dec 13, 2022 2 03:56 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 13, 2022 1 17:09 Offensive Patrice Bergeron
Dec 13, 2022 1 16:55 Defensive Patrice Bergeron