Brock Nelson vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 55 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 83-55 in 138 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 97.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 97.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 97.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 97.0%
97.0%
3.0%
Nelson
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
83
(138 meetings)
55
83
Nelson
Bergeron
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
19
36
Nelson
Bergeron
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
24
22
Nelson
Bergeron
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
12
25
Nelson
Bergeron
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
60.1% (13,938)
-12.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
60.8% (3,213)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
53.0% (2,776)
-9.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bergeron
Home
50.0% (5,845)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Nelson
Bergeron
P1
48.7%
59.3%
P2
48.5%
60.0%
P3
47.7%
58.6%
OT
45.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |