Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Faksa 53.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 86.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 67.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Nelson
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
56.4% (401)
-10.3%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
77.8% (9)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
45.5% (110)
-15.1%
On power play, Faksa has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Nelson
Faksa
Home
48.7% (419)
49.0% (249)
Away
41.3% (368)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Nelson
Faksa
P1
44.6%
58.2%
P2
47.3%
53.6%
P3
43.0%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |