Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Faksa 53.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Nelson
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Nelson
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
56.4% (289)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (2)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
49.2% (126)
-5.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Nelson
Faksa
Home
52.3% (621)
54.9% (182)
Away
48.9% (618)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Nelson
Faksa
P1
48.4%
61.1%
P2
53.5%
51.3%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |