Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Faksa 56.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 86.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Nelson
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nelson
Faksa
Last 9: Nelson 2-7 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
Nelson
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Nelson
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
56.9% (671)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
85.7% (7)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
55.0% (80)
-3.1%
On power play, Faksa has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Nelson
Faksa
Home
52.5% (590)
59.5% (375)
Away
51.7% (619)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Nelson
Faksa
P1
50.5%
61.2%
P2
54.4%
54.5%
P3
51.4%
55.5%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |