Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Hintz 52.6% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 60.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Nelson
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
52.9% (526)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
57.4% (108)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
42.5% (40)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hintz
Home
49.8% (458)
53.8% (329)
Away
49.0% (506)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Nelson
Hintz
P1
50.1%
55.6%
P2
45.4%
53.0%
P3
52.7%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%